Saturday, January 5, 2008

Wild Card Playoff Picks

It's playoff time. I am happy because the playoffs are wildly entertaining, but sad at the same time because it signals the beginning of the end. I am going to have take up fantasy baseball to make the 8 month off-season bearable. Maybe if the Rays can have a decent season. Kazmir-Shields-Garza baby.

Washington at Seattle (-3.5)

Washington has been good the last four weeks, but at the same time they haven't really played anyone. They beat a mediocre (at best) Bears team, beat a brutally inconsistent Giants team, beat the overrated vikings, and then beat a Dallas team that was not trying. Furthermore, they have a senile old man as coach. I give him zero credit for their resurgence. If this game is close he may very well find a way to screw it up. Seattle has not been playing amazing over the last part of the season, but they had everything sealed up so you can't read too much into that. The two most important factors are that they have a lot of playoff experience and the game is at home in what is supposedly the loudest stadium in the nfl. There defense has been good most of the season and Hasselbeck is having one of his best seasons. The only thing that worries me is their poor health at receiver -- Hackett is out and Branch is questionable. Well, that and there non-existent running game. But all in all, I think the Seahawks are a much better team than the Redskins especially in Seattle. Seattle to win and cover.

Jacksonville (-3) at Pittsburgh

While I think Jacksonville could very well win this game, making them a three point favorite at Pittsburgh is a little much. Pittsburgh is a good team with a lot of playoff experience. I know they have suffered some recent injuries (Parker and Aaron Smith), but they still have a decent offense. davenport isn't that much of a downgrade from Parker and Big Ben is a solid NFL starting QB. The only thing that worries me is the pathetic pass protection of the Pittsburgh offensive line. How do these guys keep making pro bowls when Big Ben is getting pressured every time he drops back? Spicer and Stroud may each register a couple of sacks. Jacksonville has been great lately but other than Freddy Taylor they lack a lot of playoff experience. Furthermore, they will be coming into a hostile environment where the field conditions will be suspect at best. Both of these factors favor Pittsburgh who has a more of a power running game than Jacksonville. Garrard may have to win this game for Jville and I am not sure if he can do it. Don't get me wrong I am huge Garrard fan, but he is unproven in the playoffs. My heart says he can do it, but my head says to play it safe and take Pittsburgh. So I'll take Pittsburgh and the points.

New York at Tampa (-3)
I am, of course, a big Bucs fan. I don't think they are particularly good this year, but I don't think I can pick against them when they are at Tampa. Gruden is a super bowl coach, the defense is playing well, and garcia has been good in the playoffs. That is enough for me to pick them over the horrendously inconsistent Giants who have a bevy on injury problems. Eli will get pressured and he will make some bad decisions and the Bucs will capitalize. On a slightly unrelated note, did anyone else see that Peter King names Jeremy Trueblood to his all pro team. This absolutely shocked me. I know the guy has been decent, but an all pro. Wow. I'm guessing he's not going to get to many other votes. Bucs to cover.

Tennessee at San Diego (-10)
This is a very large line. Tennessee is of course awful. They have an awful quaterback be it Vince Young or Kerry Collins. There running game is mediocre and there defense is decent, but it seems like haynesworth isn't at full strength. San Diego is peaking. I think Turner did a good job not running LDT to death in the regular season. He looks fresh and I expect big things from him. It's in san Diego and these two teams appear to be headed in opposite direction so I will take the Chargers to cover.


1 comment:

Anonymous said...

why fuck. you are 2-0 after saturday PA, do you think you can keep this up the whole weekend? Yes, yes I do.